Section 4.4.5.1
4.4.5.1. Reasonable Probability of Development.Under federal law, the development method cannot be used unless the property was “‘needed or likely to be needed in the reasonably near future’ for residential subdivision.”638 And showing “that a few new homes had been built in the area around the time” of valuation is insufficient: There must be “evidence ‘of…current demand or potential for subdivisions in the neighborhood[.]’”639 To credibly establish demand for such lots, “there must be some evidence that others have developed and sold such lots, so as to establish a trend, at least, toward that type of development of [similar] property.”640 Use of the development method requires evidence that on the date of value, there was a reasonable probability that the…